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Why are home prices increasing so much?

Paul Tosello

Paul has been in Real Estate for 32 years, working as a Realtor, but in addition he owned a real estate consulting and coaching company.  He has ...

Paul has been in Real Estate for 32 years, working as a Realtor, but in addition he owned a real estate consulting and coaching company.  He has ...

Jun 16 4 minutes read

Courtesy of Keeping Current Matters

Home price appreciation continues to accelerate throughout the USA & especially in the Dallas/Fort Worth area. Today, prices are driven by the simple concept of supply and demand. Pricing of any item is determined by how many items are available compared to how many people want to buy that item. As a result, the strong year-over-year home price appreciation is simple to explain. The demand for housing is up while the supply of homes for sale hovers at historic lows.

Let’s use three maps to show how this theory continues to affect the residential real estate market.

Map #1

State-by-state price appreciation reported by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) for the first quarter of 2021 compared to the first quarter of 2020.

As the map shows, certain states (colored in red) have appreciated well above the national average of 12.6%.

Map #2

The change in state-by-state inventory levels year-over-year reported by realtor.com.

Comparing the two maps shows a correlation between change in listing inventory and price appreciation in many states. The best examples are Idaho, Utah, and Arizona. Though the correlation is not as easy to see in every state, the overall picture is one of causation.

The reason prices continue to accelerate is that housing inventory is still at all-time lows while demand remains high. However, this may be changing.

Map #3

State-by-state changes in inventory levels month-over-month reported by realtor.com.

As the map indicates, 39 of the 50 states (plus the District of Columbia) saw increases in inventory over the last month. This may be evidence that homeowners who have been afraid to let buyers in their homes during the pandemic are now putting their houses on the market.

We’ll know for certain as we move through the rest of the year.

North Texas

Courtesy of NBC DFW

The North Texas real estate market has arguably never been hotter, with sellers now routinely getting multiple offers over asking price and terms that are in their favor.

It is a combination of low inventory, low-interest rates and a growing number of people coming to North Texas – is fueling the trend.

Bottom Line 

Some are concerned by the rapid price appreciation we’ve experienced over the last year. The maps above show that the increases were warranted based on great demand and limited supply. Going forward, if the number of homes for sale better aligns with demand, price appreciation will moderate to more historical levels.

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CLIENT SUCCESS STORY
Meet John & Lynn

"We were busting at the seams!  The house we were living in was our starter house.  It was great when it was just Lynn and I, but when our two kids came along we quickly realized we needed more space!"

John & Lynn had some hurdles to jump - figure out how to sell their house & buy a new construction home at the same time. They also did all of this during the COVID-19 pandemic!

Read John & Lynn's full story

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